Bolsonaro, Lula about even in polls for Brazil runoff vote

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October 24, 2026 10:17 AM EDT

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva of the leftist Workers' Party (PT), who is seeking reelection, attends a televised debate with Brazilian Senator and presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro of the right-wing Liberal Party (PL) ahead of the p

SAO PAULO, Oct ‌24 (Reuters) - ​A ​series of polls on Saturday showed Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and ‌President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva about ⁠even before Sunday's runoff vote, with the ‌right-wing lawmaker still favored ‌to win after finishing ahead of the leftist incumbent in the first ​round.

CNT/MDA POLL

• Runoff: Bolsonaro 46.3%, Lula 45.0%

• MDA surveyed 2,032 people ⁠from October 21 to October 23; margin of error ​of 2.2 percentage points

DATAFOLHA

• Runoff: Bolsonaro 48%, Lula 47%

• Datafolha surveyed ​4,050 people from October ‌23-24; margin of error of 2 percentage points

QUAEST POLL

• Runoff: ⁠Bolsonaro 46%, Lula 45%

• Quaest surveyed 3,702 people from October 23-24; margin of error ⁠of 2 percentage points

ATLASINTEL/BLOOMBERG POLL

• Runoff: Bolsonaro 49.9%, ​Lula 48.4%

• AtlasIntel surveyed 4,990 people from October 18 to October 23; margin of error ‌of 1 percentage point

BTG/NEXUS

• Runoff: Bolsonaro 47.0%, Lula 46.0%

• Nexus ‌surveyed 2,000 people from October 23-24; ⁠margin of error ‌of 2.2 ​percentage points

(Reporting by Eduardo Simoes and Fernando Cardoso; Editing by David ‌Gregorio)


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