Oil prices climb after U.S. oil output falls for sixth week

March 2, 2016 8:13 PM EST

A natural gas flare on an oil well pad burns as the sun sets outside Watford City, North Dakota January 21, 2016. REUTERS/Andrew Cullen

By Keith Wallis

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil futures rose in Asian trade on Friday, buoyed by renewed optimism prices may have bottomed out after official U.S. data showed oil production fell to its lowest level since November 2014.

Brent futures nudged up 3 cents to $37.10 a barrel as of 0147 GMT after settling 14 cents higher in the previous session. The crude benchmark is set to end the week with a gain of more than 5 percent.

U.S. crude futures had climbed 13 cents to $34.70 a barrel, after settling down 9 cents in the previous session.

While U.S. crude inventories rose to a new record of 517.98 million barrels last week, output fell for a sixth straight week to 9.08 million barrels a day, according to data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration. [EIA/S]

Cuts in U.S. production are providing price support, but investors are also waiting for key U.S. economic data later on Friday to give further direction, said Ben Le Brun, market analyst at Sydney's OptionsXpress.

"A lot of traders are keeping their powder dry in front of non-farm payroll data - it's the number one (indicator) in terms of crude consumers," he said.

Positive numbers for both February payrolls and U.S. jobs data, both due at 1330 GMT on Friday, could maintain the momentum of higher oil prices, Le Brun said

"Investors are a little more confident we've seen a bottom in oil (prices)," he added. Le Brun is forecasting oil prices will hover around $40 by the middle of this year.

Further cuts in U.S. output are possible in the coming months.

"The tight credit market will make it difficult for U.S. shale producers to refinance upcoming debt and we may see an accelerated decline in U.S. oil production in 2016-17," ANZ said in a note on Friday.

The decline in U.S. production will fuel a 1.5-percent drop in oil supply by non-members of oil producers' cartel OPEC this year, the first year of non-OPEC negative supply growth since 2008, Paul Bloxham, chief Australia economist at HSBC said in a report on Friday.

Non-OPEC supply is forecast to fall by 850,000 barrels a day this year, of which 760,000 barrels will be cut from U.S. production.

HSBC, which kept its price forecasts unchanged, assumed an average Brent price of $45 a barrel this year, rising to $60 in 2017 and $75 thereafter.

(Reporting by Keith Wallis; Editing by Joseph Radford and Richard Pullin)



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