Fitch Rates NYSEG's Senior Unsecured Notes 'A-'
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Fitch Ratings has assigned an 'A-' rating to New York State Electric & Gas Corporation's (NYSEG) issuance of senior unsecured notes. The 10-year notes mature Dec. 1, 2026 and rank pari passu with NYSEG's existing unsecured debt.
Net proceeds will be used to refinance NYSEG's $100 million 5.65% senior notes due Dec. 15, 2016, to redeem $96.85 million of NYSEG's auction rate pollution control obligations on Dec. 19, 2016, to pay down notes payable to affiliates and for general corporate purposes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Low-Risk Business Profile
The ratings of NYSEG primarily reflect the low-risk business profile and stable cash flow of the utility's regulated electric transmission and distribution and natural gas distribution operations. NYSEG has no commodity exposure and benefits from a decoupling mechanism that eliminates the impact of weather and usage patterns on its electric and natural gas revenues.
Moderately Balanced Regulatory Environment
The New York Public Service Commission's (NYPSC) regulatory framework includes ratemaking features such as revenue decoupling, a commodity pass-through mechanism and use of a forward-looking test year, which help maintain NYSEG's stable financial profile. However, NYSEG's 9% authorized return on equity is among the lowest in the U.S.
Supportive Financial Metrics
NYSEG's financial metrics should remain supportive of the ratings, with a modest revenue increase provided by the three-year rate plan that became effective May 1, 2016. Fitch expects adjusted debt/EBITDAR to average around 3.2x-3.5x through 2018, with funds flow from operations (FFO) fixed-charge coverage averaging around 5.5x-6.0x and FFO adjusted leverage averaging around 3.6x-3.9x.
Strong Regulatory Ring-Fencing Measures
The NYPSC regulatory ring-fencing measures imposed through an October 2013 regulatory order are positive for NYSEG's credit-risk profile. The ring-fencing measures include a minimum equity to capital ratio, a limit on dividend distributions under certain circumstances and the maintenance of an investment grade rating for its lowest-rated debt.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch's key assumptions within the rating case for parent AVANGRID, Inc. ('BBB+'/Outlook Stable) include:
--Rate base growth of $3.4 billion from 2014 to 2020;
--Total capex of $9.6 billion over 2016-2020, with $6.7 billion of that at the regulated utilities and $2.8 billion at the renewable energy business;
--EBITDA compound annual growth rate (CAGR; 2014-2020) of 5%-7%;
--Net income CAGR (2014-2020) of 8%-10%;
--Dividend payout ratio of 65%-75%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Positive Rating Action: A ratings upgrade could occur if adjusted debt/EBITDAR were expected to decrease to less than 3.0x and FFO fixed-charge coverage were expected to exceed 6.0x on a sustained basis.
Negative Rating Action: A ratings downgrade could occur if adjusted debt/EBITDAR were expected to exceed 4x on a sustained basis. An adverse regulatory decision that meaningfully reduces the stability and predictability of earnings and cash flow could also result in a negative rating action.
LIQUIDITY
Fitch considers NYSEG's liquidity to be adequate.
NYSEG, parent AVANGRID, and NYSEG's sister utilities - Central Maine Power Company (CMP, 'BBB+'/Outlook Stable), Rochester Gas and Electric Corporation (RGE, 'BBB+'/Outlook Stable), The United Illuminating Company (UI, 'BBB+'/Outlook Stable), Connecticut Natural Gas Corporation (CNG, 'A-'/Outlook Stable), The Southern Connecticut Gas Company (SCG, 'BBB+'/Outlook Stable), and The Berkshire Gas Company (BGC, 'A-'/Outlook Stable) - participate in a joint $1.5 billion revolving credit facility that matures April 5, 2021.
The credit facility supports AVANGRID's $1 billion CP program, which AVANGRID uses to provide its subsidiaries with intercompany loans. The credit facility contains maximum sublimits of $1 billion for AVANGRID at the parent level, $250 million for each of NYSEG, CMP, RGE, and UI, $150 million for each of CNG and SCG, and $25 million for BGC.
NYSEG's long-term debt maturities over the next five years are manageable, with $200 million maturing in December 2017 and $200 million maturing in 2020.
Disclosure: There were no financial statement adjustments made that were material to the rating rationale outlined above.
Date of Relevant Rating Committee: April 22, 2016.
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
Corporate Rating Methodology - Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage - Effective from 17 August 2015 to 27 September 2016 (pub. 17 Aug 2015)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/869362
Recovery Ratings and Notching Criteria for Non-Financial Corporate Issuers - Effective from 7 April 2016 to 21 November 2016 (pub. 05 Apr 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/879564
Additional Disclosures
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=1015128
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory
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Fitch Ratings
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Source: Fitch Ratings
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