Chevron (CVX) Issues Interim Update; Sees Q2 Earnings with Sequential Improvement
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Chevron (NYSE: CVX) reported in its interim update that earnings for the second quarter 2014 are expected to be higher than first quarter 2014 as a result of gains on asset sales and an absence of impairments in the prior quarter. Foreign exchange losses in the second quarter are expected to be higher than first quarter losses. The interim update contains industry and company operating data for the first two months of the second quarter. Readers are advised that the commentary below compares results for the first two months of the second quarter 2014 to full first quarter 2014 results, unless indicated otherwise.
UPSTREAM
U.S. net oil-equivalent production was higher compared to the first quarter, primarily due to less maintenance activity in the Gulf of Mexico and increased production in the Permian Basin. International net oil-equivalent production was lower as a result of planned turnaround activity in Kazakhstan, in addition to the shutdown of the LNG facility in Angola.
| 2013 | 2014 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q thru May | ||||||||||||||
| U.S. Upstream | ||||||||||||||||||
| Net Production: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Liquids | MBD | 455 | 448 | 440 | 438 | 460 | ||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | MMCFD | 1,227 | 1,242 | 1,261 | 1,212 | 1,229 | ||||||||||||
| Total Oil-Equivalent | MBOED | 659 | 655 | 650 | 640 | 665 | ||||||||||||
| Average Realizations: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Liquids | $/Bbl | 92.25 | 97.18 | 89.88 | 91.49 | 92.01 | ||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | $/MCF | 3.78 | 3.23 | 3.35 | 4.77 | 4.11 | ||||||||||||
| International Upstream | ||||||||||||||||||
| Net Production: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Liquids | MBD | 1,258 | 1,279 | 1,286 | 1,275 | 1,248 | ||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | MMCFD | 3,987 | 3,910 | 3,836 | 4,041 | 3,921 | ||||||||||||
| Total Oil-Equivalent | MBOED | 1,923 | 1,930 | 1,926 | 1,948 | 1,901 | ||||||||||||
| Average Realizations: | ||||||||||||||||||
| Liquids | $/Bbl | 93.71 | 104.29 | 100.57 | 98.60 | 100.35 | ||||||||||||
| Natural Gas | $/MCF | 5.93 | 5.88 | 5.75 | 6.02 | 6.00 | ||||||||||||
DOWNSTREAM
U.S. Downstream earnings for the full quarter are expected to be comparable to the prior quarter. Higher U.S. refining margins, particularly on the West Coast, were offset by lower volumes and higher operating expenses due to significant planned turnaround activity at the El Segundo refinery. International refinery crude-input volumes increased, primarily reflecting lower maintenance activities at multiple refineries.
| 2013 | 2014 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q thru May | ||||||||||||||
| Volumes: | MBD | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. Refinery Input | 814 | 831 | 871 | 872 | 793 | |||||||||||||
| Int’l Refinery Input | 872 | 885 | 878 | 774 | 834 | |||||||||||||
| U.S. Branded Mogas Sales | 526 | 529 | 513 | 505 | 525 | |||||||||||||
| Refining Market Indicators: | $/Bbl | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. West Coast – Blended 5-3-2 | 23.46 | 19.76 | 20.11 | 17.73 | 27.00 | |||||||||||||
| U.S. Gulf Coast – Maya/Mars 5-3-2 | 20.76 | 20.53 | 20.53 | 23.31 | 26.01 | |||||||||||||
| Singapore – Dubai 3-1-1-1 | 8.52 | 5.65 | 4.76 | 7.96 | 7.70 | |||||||||||||
| Marketing Market Indicators: | $/Bbl | |||||||||||||||||
| U.S. West – Weighted DTW to Spot | 5.73 | 4.84 | 5.41 | 5.20 | 7.60 | |||||||||||||
| U.S. East – Houston Mogas Rack to Spot | 5.10 | 2.76 | 3.82 | 2.32 | 4.02 | |||||||||||||
| Asia-Pacific | 11.03 | 10.62 | 9.74 | 10.43 | 10.59 | |||||||||||||
ADDITIONAL ITEMS
The following table includes estimated values on an absolute basis of select items in the full quarter.
| $MM | 2Q 2014 | Comments | ||||
| Foreign Exchange | $(250) - $(300) | Compared to absolute loss of $(79) in 1Q 2014 | ||||
| Gains on Asset Sales | $500 - $600 | Primarily upstream-related assets | ||||
| “All Other” Segment Guidance | $(400) - $(500) | Per existing guidance |
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